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UBS investors warm to Credit Suisse deal
  + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Oliver Hirt | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
Several fund managers who hold UBS stock have told Reuters they think UBS has bought Credit Suisse at a good price, with some even describing it as a steal. "UBS got Credit Suisse for practically nothing, so accordingly the deal will work out for them," another investor told Reuters. Still, UBS inherits a troubled legacy at Credit Suisse, said Thomae, pointing to legal risks which UBS has said could cost billions of dollars. Rivals have poached entire teams from Credit Suisse, he said, and some clients are likely to follow them. Deka's Thomae said UBS and Credit Suisse together would have a market share in Switzerland that is just within acceptable limits.
Persons: Colm Kelleher, Guy de Blonay, Andreas Thomae, Thomae, de Blonay, De Blonay, JP Morgan, Kian Abouhossein, Julius Baer, Deka's Thomae, Oliver Hirt, John Revill, David Holmes Organizations: Credit Suisse, UBS, Switzerland's, Reuters, Jupiter Asset Management, CS, Swiss, UBS AG, Credit Suisse AG, STATE, Deka Investment, Fund, Rivals, Suisse, JP, Suisse's, Investors, Credit, Thomson Locations: ZURICH, Suisse's Swiss, Switzerland
FRANKFURT, May 17 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) investors on Wednesday questioned the sustainability of the lender's growth plans and called for a shift of resources from the investment bank, even as they praised CEO Christian Sewing for stabilising the bank. Andreas Thomae of the Deutsche Bank investor Deka said that the bank's targets require a "tailwind" from the markets to be achievable, and rising interest rates have been "pure adrenaline" for the bank. Reuters GraphicsShe called on the bank to shift capital from its investment bank to other areas in the bank that yield higher returns. "Deutsche Bank is one of the European banks most dependent on investment banking, a poorly predictable, opaque business that is driving down its stock valuation," she said. Sewing, who won kudos from some of the investors for restoring profitability, responded that the bank was "robustly and sustainably profitable".
FRANKFURT, May 17 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) investors on Wednesday questioned the sustainability of the lender's growth plans and called for a shift of resources from the investment bank, even as they praised CEO Christian Sewing for stabilising the bank. The statements, to be made at Deutsche Bank's annual general meeting, come after the bank booked 11 consecutive quarters of profit after years of losses, but also amid bank rescues on both sides of the Atlantic that have shaken confidence in the sector. Andreas Thomae of the Deutsche Bank investor Deka said that the bank's targets require a "strong tailwind" from the markets to achieve them, and rising interest rates have been "pure adrenaline" for the bank. Reuters GraphicsShe called on the bank to shift capital from its investment bank to other areas in the bank that yield higher returns. "Deutsche Bank is one of the European banks most dependent on investment banking, a poorly predictable, opaque business that is driving down its stock valuation," she said.
Thomae said investors were particularly disappointed that withdrawals had continued after Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Koerner and Chairman Axel Lehmann had said the situation had stabilised. Deka, which is owned by Germany's unlisted savings banks, holds a stake of 0.02% in Credit Suisse, according to Refinitiv data. Credit Suisse shares rebounded on Friday, gaining nearly 4% after losing nearly 15% on Thursday when shareholders took fright at results described by one shareholder as "catastrophic." The market is still wondering what the risk/return profile of “New Credit Suisse” will look like," Venditti said. Ratings agencies said Credit Suisse had 'some momentum' in its restructuring, including disposing of non core assets and slashing costs, but faced significant risks ahead.
Higher interest rates are fattening profits from regular banking, while there has been a decline in M&A deals. In both those years, the investment bank made close to 40% of revenue and more than 75% of pre-tax profit. The bank's corporate and retail businesses, meanwhile, stagnated under ultra-low interest rates that lasted longer than expected. Deutsche Bank is under scrutiny for its controls to prevent money laundering, said a person with direct knowledge of the matter. Deutsche Bank has also been under pressure from regulators to rein in its leveraged finance business, where credit is extended to already indebted borrowers.
"This is a test as to whether shareholders want to support a company they know well already," he said. In contrast with a drought of initial public offerings (IPO), EMEA companies have raised an overall 33.3 billion euros ($34.99 billion) through capital increases so far this year. Meanwhile, fund managers' cash holdings stand at a near 21-year peak, according to poll data from Bank of America. "However, the market could see more firms turn to shareholders for funding given the rising cost of debt and changing outlook," he added. ($1 = 0.9517 euros)Reporting by Pablo Mayo Cerqueiro and Oliver Hirt; Editing by Bernadette BaumOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
The company will be a preferred long-term partner for Credit Suisse, the bank has said. Credit Suisse declined to comment beyond Lehmann's remarks Oct. 27 when the bank unveiled the restructuring. The investment bank spin-off and the sale of the securitized products unit to Apollo are key planks of the reorganization. Klein, a 59-year-old former Citigroup rainmaker who runs advisory boutique M. Klein & Co, has been a Credit Suisse board member since 2018. Klein and Credit Suisse also have discussed combining M. Klein & Co into CS First Boston, according to one source familiar with the discussions.
The logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen at its headquarters in Zurich, Switzerland October 4, 2022. A spokesperson for Credit Suisse, which will unveil its strategic review alongside its results on Oct. 27, said it would be premature to comment on any outcome before then. Credit Suisse shares have plunged almost 50% since the start of the year, trimming its market value to 11.88 billion francs. Credit Suisse's five-year credit default swaps, a key risk benchmark, were indicated as high as 363 basis points on Wednesday, data from S&P Global Market Intelligence shows. "Credit Suisse is facing the biggest upheaval the bank has ever seen," Thomae from Deka Investment said.
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